How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November? As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on … Continue re……Continue Reading Predictions, Predictions: Congress and the Courts
Tag: generic ballot
Tuesday’s Results: Good News for Obama and Democrats?
I’ve been on deadline with a conference paper, so am commenting somewhat belatedly on last Tuesday’s election results, focusing on the highly publicized Senate primary races in Colorado and Connecticut. As you know, in Colorado, incumbent Democra……Continue Reading Tuesday’s Results: Good News for Obama and Democrats?
The Latest Gallup Poll: Are Democrats Gaining Momentum?
Another nice teaching moment, this one courtesy of Jay Cost at the Horserace blog and Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com. Gallup released their latest generic ballot results under the headlines “Democrats Jump Into Six Point Lead on the Generic Ballot…Continue Reading The Latest Gallup Poll: Are Democrats Gaining Momentum?