My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected. As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral … Cont……Continue Reading Midday Election Observations
Tag: 2012 presidential election
Who Is Really Winning This Race?
Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like. In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once … Continue reading →…Continue Reading Who Is Really Winning This Race?
Rumors of Mitt’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated
I know. I know. “Where have you been?!” I appreciate the email inquiries. The short answer is I’ve been trapped in my office, fending off an onslaught of students. Such is the life of a departmental chair at a nationally-ranked … Co……Continue Reading Rumors of Mitt’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated
Are Republicans Racially Biased Against Obama?
For several reasons I haven’t said much about the role of race in the current presidential election. The primary reason is that it is a difficult issue to address empirically, and in contrast to many blogs, my intent at this … Continue readin……Continue Reading Are Republicans Racially Biased Against Obama?
Of Course The Electorate Is Highly Polarized! (Not)
I’m posting at the Economist’s Democracy in America site today, with an article examining the evidence for whether the American electorate is, as Kevin Drum and other pundits would have us believe, extremely polarized along partisan lines. ……Continue Reading Of Course The Electorate Is Highly Polarized! (Not)
The State of The Race: It Was The Best Of Times. It Was The Worst Of Times.
Today saw two separate and seemingly contrasting assessments of the state of the 2012 presidential election. First, CNN released its latest presidential poll, and it showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney among a sample of registered voters by 52%-4……Continue Reading The State of The Race: It Was The Best Of Times. It Was The Worst Of Times.
The 2012 Presidential Election Is Most Like This Previous Election
One of the recurring exercises in any presidential election year is the effort by pundits to find the most appropriate historical analogue among previous presidential elections. What is deemed “appropriate”, however, is usually determined by whet……Continue Reading The 2012 Presidential Election Is Most Like This Previous Election