Posts by Matthew Dickinson

 
 
 

Midday Election Observations

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected.  As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral … Continue reading

I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man.  Why is this, you ask?  Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a  dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The … Continue reading

The Pundits vs. Political Science: Debating the Impact of the First Debate

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
As Election 2012 heads down to the wire, it is fascinating to see how the pundits view this race compared to where the political scientists do (at least as I interpret them).  They often seem to be looking at two … Continue reading

Who Is Really Winning This Race?

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like.  In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once … Continue reading

Different Forecast, Same Result: More Political Science Models

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Politico’s Dylan Byers created a minor dust-up in the twitterverse today when he posted an article that appeared to take a shot at the New York Times’  Nate Silver’s prognosticating skills. Byers writes, “Prediction is the name of Silver’s game, … Continue reading

How True Drew? Linzer Still Sees Obama As A Heavy Favorite

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Emory University political scientist Drew Linzer, who created and runs the Votamatic website, paid a visit to Middlebury College last Wednesday to discuss why, based on his forecast model, he believes President Obama is still the heavy favorite to win … Continue reading

Ten Days And Counting: Where The Race Stands

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
My post today examining the State of the Race is up at the Economist’s Democracy in America website, but I will try to amplify my remarks in a post at this site later today.  In particular, I’ll try to reconcile … Continue reading