Monthly Archives: October 2010

The Midterms and the War in Afghanistan: Where’s the Debate?

Stop me if you’ve read this before: according to this New York Times article, American-led coalition forces have routed Taliban fighters in the key Afghan province of Kandahar in recent weeks.  Taliban supply lines have been cut, their leadership decimated, … Continue reading

Are Landline-Only Pollsters Systematically Understating Democratic Support?

With less than two weeks remaining before the midterm election, polls continue to indicate that Republicans will make major gains in both the House and Senate.  That has led some Democrat supporters (and others as well) to wonder whether the … Continue reading

Can We Trust the Gallup Generic Ballot Results?

At this stage in the electoral cycle, the fundamentals that drive the midterm vote – unemployment, real disposable income, attitudes toward Obama – are for the most part fixed, barring a major event. The key question now becomes who will … Continue reading

Has Citizens United Caused A Decline in Overall Campaign Spending?

Here’s an interesting question: why is spending on midterm races this cycle down from the previous midterm expenditures in 2006?*** “What’s that?” you ask. Didn’t you just read Politico’s lead story announcing that “Outside organizations – business associations, unions, ideological … Continue reading

Which Party is More Extreme? The Mote in Markos’ Eye

The results of a recently released survey commissioned by The Hill (a journal focusing on Congress) of likely voters in 10 “battleground” states are garnering not a little attention among the chattering class. (The poll surveyed voters in congressional districts … Continue reading