A Game of Jumbo Proportions

Football

Middlebury ends its season at home against Tufts, losers of 20 straight games. While the matchup is pretty lopsided, Middlebury has a lot to play for, both on an individual level and as a team. The Panthers still have an outside shot at sharing a NESCAC title, though it requires a win and a Trinity loss at Wesleyan. This will also be the final time the senior class plays together, which includes some of the most talented players in program history. Zach Driscoll and Billy Chapman could both secure All American selections Saturday in the final game of their careers and Ryan Moores, Harris Huguenard and Ling Zhou will play their last game as the anchors of the best unit in the NESCAC. Defensively, Middlebury will graduate five members of their front seven, including defensive captain John Wiet and defensive linemen Jimmy Tilson, Keegan Ashley and Doug Rogers. In the secondary, Andrew Singley and Dan Kenerson, who leads the team with 4 interceptions on the season will also be playing in their final games.

Foote and Driscoll will also be playing with a chance to break a number of NESCAC records. Number 11 is 4 catches, 128 yards and 2 touchdown receptions from breaking all three records and cementing himself as the best wide receiver in conference history. Driscoll is also within striking distance of leading the nation in receptions/game (1st), yards/game (2nd) and touchdowns/game (4th). That he could set every single season NESCAC record and lead the nation in each speaks volumes to the transcendent season that Driscoll has had. The Panthers’ signal caller, meanwhile, has already shattered the single season NESCAC touchdown record and is 366 yards short of breaking Donnie McKillop’s 2009 single season passing yards mark.

Fans, if not coaches and players, will also be keeping a close eye on the proceedings in Middletown, Connecticut, where Trinity will attempt to complete its undefeated campaign and secure a NESCAC Championship on the road against Wesleyan. The Cardinals are tough at home — they’ve only lost two home games in the past two seasons — and will present a challenge to the Bantams who are considerably more susceptible on the road.

With so much on the line, however, head coach Bob Ritter will call on his team to do the same thing he asks them to do every week — go 1-0.

Weather forecast: 41° F, 0% precipitation, 5 mph winds

Keys to the game: Middlebury will need to harness their emotions, which will  be running at an all-time high before the game, maintain their efficiency and find a rhythm in the passing game early. Driscoll and Foote need to push the records aside — something they’ve done without a problem all season — and play within the flow of the game, taking advantage of what the Tufts defense gives them. Defensively, the Panthers will have to play assignment sound football as Tufts’ quarterback John Dodds has put together a strong senior season, averaging 182 yards per game through the air, third best in the NESCAC. Tufts, meanwhile, will need to force the Middlebury offense into mistakes. Winning the turnover battle will be crucial for the Jumbos, who will need the defense to make a number of big plays to keep the offense on the field and in the game.

Matchups to watch: Mac Foote and Zach Driscoll vs. the Tufts secondary: Entering the game, the Jumbos have allowed just 177 yards per game through the air, fourth best in the NESCAC. How much of this can be attributed to their talent in the secondary and how much is a result of their atrocious run defense (the worst in the NESCAC), however, is hard to know. Driscoll has been a matchup nightmare all season long, finding space behind even the Trinity defense, and Tufts doesn’t have the athletes to keep up with the NESCAC’s most prolific pass catcher.
John Dodds vs. Dan Kenerson and the Middlebury secondary: Kenerson has been incredibly opportunistic in the Panthers third level, often breaking off defensive assignments to make plays on the ball in the air. While Dodds has thrown for a lot of yards this season, he has thrown the second most interceptions in the NESCAC (10) while completing just 52% of his passes. If he is wild over the middle, or in the area of Kenerson, the senior corner and the Middlebury secondary will come away with multiple interceptions, something the Jumbos absolutely cannot afford.

The Final Word: Middlebury 49 – Tufts 10. With an outside shot at a NESCAC title and the emotions of senior day, the Panthers will jump all over the Jumbos, dropping Tufts with their second consecutive winless season. Driscoll and Foote will have a field day, setting all four NESCAC records in their grasp, stamping the final game of a tremendous season with a performance for the ages.

Men’s Basketball Preview Part II: Starter Profiles (Peter Lynch)

Men's Basketball

44- PETER LYNCH, SENIOR CAPTAIN, FORWARD, 6’6″
2011-12 stats: 30 GP, 29 GS, 21.0 MPG, 9.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 0.6 APG, 11 STL, 17 BLK, .763 FT%, .636 FG%

Peter Lynch has been developing into a very capable front court player, and he heads into his senior season with by far the biggest challenge of his career ahead of him. After playing a complementary role to Ryan Sharry last season, Lynch is now the best (and arguably only) big man who can score in the post for Middlebury. With Sharry gone, he will draw far more attention from opposing defenses, and will be called upon to consistently beat top defenders down low. Luckily, this is not unchartered territory for Lynch. At the start of last season, Sharry was sidelined with an ankle injury, and Pete stepped up. Over the course of five games, he averaged 15 points on 69% shooting in 25 minutes per game, and won MVP honors at the season-opening tournament. He continued to play well once Sharry returned, and while his scoring dropped (understandably), he finished the season tops in the NESCAC in field goal percentage (64%). The more you watch Pete, the more you understand why he is able to succeed offensively despite being undersized and relatively unathletic: his touch is soft, and his post moves are the class of the conference. Against certain opponents, he can score at will, and he is likely to put up a few 20+ point games this season. That said, it will be important for Lynch to avoid trying to do too much, especially against longer defenders. If he sticks to the hard work and smarts that got him this far, Lynch should average 12-14 points per game, and shoot around 60% from the field.

On defense, Peter won’t block a lot of shots, but he can match up with most fours and fives because of his fundamentals and strength. Peter is the strongest player on the team, and likely the second-strongest player in the conference (Amherst’s Peter Kaasila is as strong as anybody who will ever play in the NESCAC). The defensive adjustment this year will not be a big one for Peter, as he was already matching up against the top frontcourt opponents last season with Jeff Brown often trying to keep Sharry out of foul trouble. If anything, Peter will be helped by the increased presence of Jack Roberts and James Jensen, two defense-first big men, alongside him.

Men’s Basketball Preview Part II: Starter Profiles (Nolan Thompson)

Men's Basketball

25- NOLAN THOMPSON, SENIOR CAPTAIN, GUARD, 6’3″
2011-12 stats: 25 GP, 23 GS, 31.0 MPG, 9.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 1.9 APG, 21 STL, 4 BLK, .806 FT%, .441 FG% .337 3PT%

Nolan Thompson is a special player and even more so, a special leader. In his second year as captain, Thompson will play a huge role determining the degree of success his team achieves this season. Having graduated Ryan Sharry, the Panthers will need Thompson’s offensive game to rival his defensive excellence. After a down year offensively last season, Nolan appears to have finally settled on the mechanics on his jump shot, which he has tinkered with over the last two seasons. The combination of Nolan’s ability to handle the basketball, his great shooting range and ability to score inside should make him the number two option in the offense. It’s on the other end of the floor, however, where Nolan separates himself from everyone else. His on-ball defense is second to none in the NESCAC and, I would bet, the nation. What makes Nolan’s defense extraordinary is how effortless it appears. The next time you watch him, pay attention to Nolan’s ability to slip through ball screens — if you enjoy the the finer points of basketball, it’s truly something to watch. By placing himself in the right position in these situations — something that might seem insignificant to many — Nolan in fact reduces the energy he expends on defense and avoids unnecessary contact with the screener, one of many reasons why he leads the teams in minutes played. Ultimately, therefore, it’s not Thompson’s athleticism (which is underrated, by the way) that makes him a superior defender, but his work ethic, conditioning and his incredible attention to detail. If he can apply these attributes with a similar degree of effectiveness on offense, improve his efficiency offensively and assert himself more, Thompson will be a first-team All-NESCAC selection at season’s end. If he has made this kind of substantial improvement between his junior and senior seasons (ala Ryan Sharry) Middlebury has an opportunity to make another deep NCAA Tournament run.

Men’s Basketball Preview Part I: Reserve Player Profiles

Men's Basketball

This is the first installment in our preview series leading up to the start of Middlebury’s 2012-2013 basketball season. The Panthers started official practices on November 1, and their regular season begins November 16 at the Lebanon Valley Tournament. We will be following up this post with individual starter profiles, a schedule breakdown, a NESCAC preview, and season predictions. The reserve/starter distinctions are based purely on speculation.

41- DYLAN SINNICKSON, SOPHOMORE, FORWARD, 6’5″
2011-12 stats: 30 GP, 0 GS, 11.4 MPG, 5.7 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 0.2 APG, 6 STL, 10 BLK, .754 FT%, .526 FG%
Before he broke his forearm in practice this past weekend, the ultra-athletic Sinnickson was our pick to play the sixth man role for the Panthers. Sinnickson is expected to be out at least two months, but should be able to return in time to contribute in NESCAC play. Last year, his mid-range shooting carried him to 5.7 points in 11.4 minutes per game. He has the potential to become a star with the development of a more diverse offensive repertoire. He has the physical abilities to be a great defender as well, but needs to develop his self-awareness and lower his foul rate. Based on what we know about his work ethic, he will not allow this injury to derail his season, and his January return should be a huge boost to the Panthers just in time for the most important stretch of the season.

55- JACK ROBERTS, JUNIOR, CENTER/FORWARD, 6’8″
2011-12 stats: 23 GP, 3 GS, 11.1 MPG, 1.9 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 0.3 APG, 5 STL, 22 BLK, .667 FT%, .250 3PT%, 417 FG%
After showing a lot of positive signs at the beginning of last season, Roberts injured his knee, and never returned fully to form. He often looked tentative on offense, and was slow to help down low on defense. Yet he is likely the team’s best defender against bigs, and was already shining in that role last year. His best game of the season was his 2 point, 6 rebound, 5 block performance in 17 minutes matching up against Michael Mayer of Williams. Stopping Mayer and other centers will be Jack’s primary responsibility this year. Look for his performances against Mayer, Peter Kaasila, John Swords, and Rashad Wright to define his season. He is a possibility to move into the starting lineup based for certain matchups.

14- DEAN BRIERLY, SOPHOMORE, GUARD, 6’5″
2011-12 stats: 27 GP, 5 GS, 11.2 MPG, 3.9 PPG, 1.0 RPG, 0.3 APG, 6 STL, 1 BLK, .750 FT%, .293 3PT%, .420 FG%
Brierly had an up-and-down freshman year, showing early promise with a 20 point performance at Southern Vermont in November, but struggled to find his shot later in the season. Brierly will likely be the top reserve in the backcourt this season, thanks to his versatility and wide array of offensive skills. He has great ball-handling skills for his size, as well as good range on his jump shot and some ability to penetrate and create on offense. If he has another hot start, look for him to take advantage of the opportunity and carve out a sixth man type role as the best offensive player on the bench.

24- HUNTER MERRYMAN, SOPHOMORE, FORWARD, 6’6″
2011-12 stats: 15 GP, 0 GS, 6.0 MPG, 3.4 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 0.2 APG, 4 STL, 5 BLK, 1.000 FT%, .545 3PT%, .613 FG%
With Sinnickson’s injury, Merryman is likely to see an increase in minutes early in the season, and we expect him to be effective. Probably the best pure shooter on the team, Merryman’s combination of size and range makes him one of the most intriguing role players on the bench. At the least, he can rebound and bang with big guys down low on defense, while drawing front court defenders out of the lane with his spot up shooting. At his best, he can be a game-changing scorer off the bench, a pick-and-roll type big man who can create space and make big guys pay if they don’t move outside with him. If he wants to make this kind of impact, Merryman needs to do a better job of adjusting to the game speed of NESCAC play.

22- NATE BULLUCK, JUNIOR, GUARD, 6’4
2011-12 stats: 27 GP, 0 GS, 8.1 MPG, 2.6 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 0.3 APG, 10 STL, 4 BLK, .844 FT%, .393 FG%
Bulluck is a very athletic two-guard who makes his biggest impact on defense. He might have made the defensive play of the year against Amherst in Middlebury’s regular season meeting with the Lord Jeffs, rising above the rim to stuff a layup attempt as time expired in the first half. He will be counted on to continue to make plays on defense, and might be put in Nolan Thompson’s lock-down-defender role more often this year to allow Thompson to channel more energy toward offense. Bulluck also can score with a mid-range jumper and explosive drives to the hoop. His offensive style is sometimes too isolation-based for a team with so many weapons and in a system that values ball movement and making the extra pass.

43- CHRIS CHURCHILL, SOPHOMORE, CENTER/FORWARD, 6’10”
2011-12 stats: 14 GP, 0 GS, 4.1 MPG, 1.1 PPG, 1.7 RPG, 0.1 APG, 1 STL, 2 BLK, .857 FT%, .313 FG%
Chris Churchill is the player we hoped would steal a starting spot this season. His combination of considerable size — he plays even bigger than he looks — and soft shooting touch — he made six of seven free throw attempts in limited action — make him an intriguing player with a high ceiling. It does not appear from what we have seen and heard that Churchill has taken a starting spot, but he is nonetheless a player to watch this season as someone who may make significant strides as the season progresses.

45- ALBERT NASCIMENTO, JUNIOR, GUARD, 6’0″
2011-12 stats: 16 GP, 0 GS, 6.6 MPG, 2.5 PPG, 0.5 RPG, 0.6 APG, 3 STL, 3 BLK, .900 FT%, .222 3PT%, .273 FG%
Bert, as he is referred to by his teammates, fulfills an incredibly important role on the team, even if that doesn’t have much of a direct impact on the floor. Much like Carl Gayle before him, if you ask any player on the team who the funniest player is, they say without hesitation, “Bert.” Nascimento has a smooth, high-release jumpshot that is beautiful all the way through the release, but has not produced the desired results. The guard from Governador Valadares, Brazil plays a distinct style of basketball — one that seems to clash with the offensive system run by Jeff Brown. If Nascimento can harness his talents and shoot the three-ball at a reasonably high percentage, he could bring a new dimension to the offense. In all likelihood, however, such an idea is farfetched.

21- LUIS ALVAREZ, SENIOR, GUARD, 6’1″
2011-12 stats: 2 GP, 0 GS, 1.0 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 0.5 APG, 1 STL, 0 BLK, .250 FG%
Luis might be this season’s version of Winslow Hicks, a talented player whose career was too often interrupted by nagging injuries. Alvarez has had his fair share of injuries over the years and while it would be an exaggeration to say that he could have been a significant contributor to this team given the depth and talent in the backcourt, he did play in 28 games as a freshman before seeing his role diminish as physical setbacks and greater competition at his position forced him to the bench. At his best, Luis is a slashing two-guard who doesn’t shoot the ball all that well, but has plus finishing ability at the rim.

31- EAMON CUDDY, SOPHOMORE, FORWARD, 6’8″ 
2011-12 stats: 5 GP, 0 GS, 2.8 MPG, 0.8 RPG, 0.2 APG, 0 STL, 0 BLK, 1.000 FG%
Eamon appears to be, for now, the big man on the outside looking in. He does not have the height of Roberts or the girth of Churchill. Having only really seen Cuddy play in practice, what did impress me, however, was his ability to score in the post, often against his stronger, taller teammates. If he does become a contributor this season it will not happen because he jumps out of the gym. Instead, the style of his game is much more similar to that of Pete Lynch, relying on a polished low post game and the strength to create space down low.

Note on freshmen: We have not seen any of these four freshman in live game action, so these profiles are based on a few limited observations, highlight films and discussions. 

13- HENRY PENDERGAST, FRESHMAN, GUARD, 6’3″
Pendergast is likely the most game-ready of the freshmen. He has ball-handling abilities, although is unlikely to be the top ball-handler on the court at any point this year, and is an impressive finisher near the basket. He would likely get significant playing time in other NESCAC backcourts.

23- MATT DALEY, FRESHMAN, FORWARD, 6’8″
Daley has the potential to be a great player down the road, but he is very raw at this point. His size and athleticism might be enough to get him playing time this season, but it doesn’t appear he will be able to contribute on the offensive end until he improves his touch and develops some low-post moves.

10- CONNOR HUFF, FRESHMAN, FORWARD, 6’4″
Huff is a scoring forward who looks strong, and might get some playing time early in the season because of the Sinnickson injury. He brings a nice resume over from high school — he won four New York state championships on his high school team (Collegiate), and was the top pick in a New York Post poll asking, “Which NYC player would you choose to take a game-winning shot?” Until Joey Kizel graduates, Huff shouldn’t have to worry about last shots, but clutch play can come in many forms.

35- JAKE NIDENBERG, FRESHMAN, FORWARD, 6’6″
From what we’ve seen, Nidenberg shows an ability to score inside by creating space and has good hands, both receiving and shooting the ball. He looks to have heavy feet on defense, however, and needs to improve his rebounding fundamentals. Given the areas of improvement, it’s hard to see Nidenberg playing any significant role this season as he assimilates to playing against guys his size (and bigger) on a daily basis.

The Rocking Chair Class… oh Never Mind

Football

The Middlebury football team is in Clinton, New York today to play Hamilton (1-5) in a game that is not-so-popularly known as the Rocking Chair Classic. The “rivalry,” as Wikipedia calls it, began in 1980 when friends on the Board of Trustees of each school decided that the game would be played for the Mac-Jack Rocking Chair, named after the two men who thought this would be a good idea. In reality, this matchup has been anything but a rivalry. Middlebury has won 24 of the 32 meetings since the series was formalized, and the matchup has been even more lopsided than even that would suggest. Middlebury has won each of the last 16 meetings between the two teams and only two of the last 12 meetings have been decided by one score. With that in mind, here are a couple of things to keep in mind for this game.

Weather: 35° F, 10-15% precipitation, 15 mph winds

Keys to the game: We write this every week it seems, but Middlebury really needs to get out to a quick start today. After failing to get started last week whatsoever, the Panthers want this game to be over at halftime. Hamilton comes into the game allowing a league-worst 34 points per game. The last thing the Panthers want to do is allow the Continentals to hang around and have to make plays in the second half to ensure a win.

Matchups to watch: Middlebury’s offensive line vs. Hamilton’s front seven. While the Continentals have defended the pass well this weekend, they have been the NESCAC’s second worst defense against the run, allowing 225 yards per game against the run. Middlebury’s offensive line, meanwhile, has been terrific protecting Mac Foote this weekend despite struggling last week against Trinity’s pass rush, but has struggled to open running lanes for running back Remi Ashkar. Ahskar has topped the century mark on the ground just once so far this year, but expect him to do it again today behind a motivated offensive line.

Prediction: Middlebury 52 – Hamilton 10. The Panthers will return to form today and trounce an overmatched Hamilton team.