Tags » presidential forecast
I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results
On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man. Why is this, you ask? Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The … Continue reading
Dickinson and Silver, Take Two
Whether he did so out of frustration or some other emotion, I want to thank Nate Silver for taking time from his busy schedule to respond (twice!) to my critique of poll-based forecasting models similar to his. This type of … Continue reading
Pay No Attention To Those Polls (Or To Forecast Models Based On Them)
Brace yourselves. With the two main party nominees established, we are now entering the poll-driven media phase of presidential electoral politics. For the next several months, media coverage will be dominated by analyses of trial heat polls pitting the two … Continue reading
