Tags » nate silver
Dickinson and Silver, Take Two
Whether he did so out of frustration or some other emotion, I want to thank Nate Silver for taking time from his busy schedule to respond (twice!) to my critique of poll-based forecasting models similar to his. This type of … Continue reading
Pay No Attention To Those Polls (Or To Forecast Models Based On Them)
Brace yourselves. With the two main party nominees established, we are now entering the poll-driven media phase of presidential electoral politics. For the next several months, media coverage will be dominated by analyses of trial heat polls pitting the two … Continue reading
Predictions, Predictions: Congress and the Courts
How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November? As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on … Continue reading
