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	<title>Presidential Power &#187; midterm forecast</title>
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	<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower</link>
	<description>A NonPartisan Analysis of Presidential Politics</description>
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		<title>The Midterm Elections: A Choice, or a Referendum?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/09/18/the-midterm-elections-a-choice-or-a-referendum/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/09/18/the-midterm-elections-a-choice-or-a-referendum/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Sep 2010 15:08:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generic balllot results]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[midterm forecast]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Two weeks ago Democrats’ hopes for the midterm elections were briefly raised when the Gallup generic ballot came back showing a dead heat, 46%-46%, in voters’ preferences between the two parties. Some progressive media sites, buoyed by the poll, wondered &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/09/18/the-midterm-elections-a-choice-or-a-referendum/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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		<title>Predictions, Predictions: Congress and the Courts</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Aug 2010 16:16:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generic ballot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[midterm forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate silver]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November?  As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
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