Posts by Matthew Dickinson
Midday Election Observations
My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected. As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral … Continue reading
I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results
On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man. Why is this, you ask? Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The … Continue reading
The Pundits vs. Political Science: Debating the Impact of the First Debate
As Election 2012 heads down to the wire, it is fascinating to see how the pundits view this race compared to where the political scientists do (at least as I interpret them). They often seem to be looking at two … Continue reading
Who Is Really Winning This Race?
Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like. In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once … Continue reading
Different Forecast, Same Result: More Political Science Models
Politico’s Dylan Byers created a minor dust-up in the twitterverse today when he posted an article that appeared to take a shot at the New York Times’ Nate Silver’s prognosticating skills. Byers writes, “Prediction is the name of Silver’s game, … Continue reading
