I think the polls will move closer as the likely voter screen tighten and the polls become more accurate. They may not perfectly align at the state and national level, but I expect them to both tell a similar electoral story regarding who is ahead.

Saw this article on RCP and thought it was right up your alley. Basic premise – how to reconcile the fact that state polls and national polls are showing us two different races. Anyways, pretty good read. Should be interesting to see come Tuesday which is right.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2012/10/31/whats_behind_the_state-national_poll_divergence_115979-2.html

In your opinion, should we see the two converge in the last few days… is there even enough time for this to possibly happen?