Comments on: Forecasting the Election: It’s No Time To Go Wobbly

By: Don’t Underestimate Romney « Alan Colmes' Liberaland

Don’t Underestimate Romney « Alan Colmes' Liberaland — Wed, 03 Oct 2012 13:58:04 +0000

[...] my guess is that Romney holds his own and the polls move slightly toward him. Coupled with some fading of the convention/47% bounce, the narrative for the next week might be about a tightening [...]

By: Ben Wiggins

Ben Wiggins — Wed, 03 Oct 2012 13:25:04 +0000

The WSJ reports this morning that the race in Ohio appears to be slipping away from Romney while the races in Florida and Virginia are tightening

By: Matthew Dickinson

Matthew Dickinson — Wed, 03 Oct 2012 11:59:55 +0000

Et tu, Matt?

By: Matthew Beckmann

Matthew Beckmann — Wed, 03 Oct 2012 05:34:29 +0000

Hi Matt,

Like you, my bottom-line take-away from the various models is that this will be a really close election. I’ve said so repeatedly, publicly, and I too have predicted tightening.

Alas, I’m going a bit wobbly! The fundamentals are baked-in; the convention bounces have faded; the campaigns are doing what they do. Still, President Obama is up by several points.

Thus I find myself thinking more and more about Larry Bartels’ analyses almost one year ago…

http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2011/11/02/the-presidents-fate-may-hinge-on-2009-2/

Talk to you soon, Matt. I hope you are great.

Matt