http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/ A NonPartisan Analysis of Presidential Politics Wed, 21 Nov 2012 15:45:52 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/comment-page-1/#comment-29706 Nadia Hassan Tue, 11 Sep 2012 10:48:41 +0000 http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13084#comment-29706 Matt, Campbell’s Q2 estimates rely upon revised data, but he uses the initial estimate for Obama. This is potentially consequential, because real-time data are better for electoral forecasting, and economic data are prone to substantial revision. Eisenhower had ~.3% growth during Q2 in the first estimate and last year the first estimate for Q2 was 1.3, but the most recent revision is 2.5%.

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