Monthly Archives: June 2012

Quack, Quack Mr. President

It seems that no one is really happy with the Supreme Court’s health care ruling.  As Louis Tiemann’s excellent comment to my last post reminds me, court decisions that are politically crafted to appease contending parties often make bad case … Continue reading

Roberts Was Right, Institutionally Speaking

So, what explains the Supreme Court’s decision to uphold the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, more popularly known as Obamacare?   As most of you will recall, I thought the justices’ votes would fall largely along ideological lines, as captured … Continue reading

OK, OK, Enough Already! I’ll Post Something On Health Care

Nothing has happened in the ensuring three months to change my view, expressed in  my original post on the Supreme Court’s health care hearings last March, that that the best predictor of how the Court will rule today is how … Continue reading

No, Political Scientists Are NOT Lousy Forecasters – In Fact, They Are Pretty Good

First Nate Silver. Now Jacqueline Stevens!  Stevens is the Northwestern political scientist whose op ed piece in Sunday’s New York Times  sparked more than a little debate regarding the role of government efforts through National Science Foundation grants to fund … Continue reading

Dickinson and Silver, Take Two

Whether he did so out of frustration or some other emotion, I want to thank Nate Silver for taking time from his busy schedule to respond (twice!) to my critique of poll-based forecasting models similar to his.  This type of … Continue reading