Busy day today, but I wanted to send one quick Iowa polling update.
In Iowa, the most recent poll (by American Research Group) shows very little change, with Paul (21%), Romney (20%) and Gingrich (19%) essentially tied for the lead. (The poll’s margin of error is +/- 4 points). No other candidate reaches double figures, but 12% remain undecided. Once again, Paul does better among independents. who constitute 22% of the poll. Although the race remains very fluid, with a week to go it appears to be a toss-up among these three. Perhaps the most interesting takeaway is how steady Romney’s support is – he never gains, but doesn’t lose either.
If I can, I’ll post a more extended discussion later tonight.