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	<title>The Middlebury Blog Network &#187; presidential forecast</title>
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		<title>I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/i-can-read-faces-my-wager-on-the-election-results/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/i-can-read-faces-my-wager-on-the-election-results/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2012 05:06:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13781</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man.  Why is this, you ask?  Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a  dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The &#8230; Con... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/i-can-read-faces-my-wager-on-the-election-results/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man.  Why is this, you ask?  Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a  dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/i-can-read-faces-my-wager-on-the-election-results/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Dickinson and Silver, Take Two</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/22/dickinson-and-silver-take-two/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/22/dickinson-and-silver-take-two/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Jun 2012 18:05:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential forecast]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=12840</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Whether he did so out of frustration or some other emotion, I want to thank Nate Silver for taking time from his busy schedule to respond (twice!) to my critique of poll-based forecasting models similar to his.  This type of &#8230; Continue reading &#38;... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/22/dickinson-and-silver-take-two/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Whether he did so out of frustration or some other emotion, I want to thank Nate Silver for taking time from his busy schedule to respond (twice!) to my critique of poll-based forecasting models similar to his.  This type of &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/22/dickinson-and-silver-take-two/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Pay No Attention To Those Polls (Or To Forecast Models Based On Them)</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/21/pay-no-attention-to-those-polls-or-to-forecast-models-based-on-them/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/21/pay-no-attention-to-those-polls-or-to-forecast-models-based-on-them/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jun 2012 15:37:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[presidential forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=12828</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Brace yourselves. With the two main party nominees established, we are now entering the poll-driven media phase of presidential electoral politics.  For the next several months, media coverage will be dominated by analyses of trial heat polls pitting ... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/21/pay-no-attention-to-those-polls-or-to-forecast-models-based-on-them/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Brace yourselves. With the two main party nominees established, we are now entering the poll-driven media phase of presidential electoral politics.  For the next several months, media coverage will be dominated by analyses of trial heat polls pitting the two &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/06/21/pay-no-attention-to-those-polls-or-to-forecast-models-based-on-them/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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