Tags » midterm forecast


The Midterm Elections: A Choice, or a Referendum?

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Two weeks ago Democrats’ hopes for the midterm elections were briefly raised when the Gallup generic ballot came back showing a dead heat, 46%-46%, in voters’ preferences between the two parties. Some progressive media sites, buoyed by the poll, wondered … Continue reading

Predictions, Predictions: Congress and the Courts

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November?  As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on … Continue reading