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	<title>The Middlebury Blog Network &#187; generic ballot</title>
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		<title>Predictions, Predictions: Congress and the Courts</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Aug 2010 16:16:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generic ballot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[midterm forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nate silver]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=8299</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November?  As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on &#8230; Continue re... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[How reliable is the generic ballot survey question in helping forecast the size of the Democratic losses that will occur in November?  As we move closer to November 2, a growing proportion of my blog posts will undoubtedly focus on &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/21/predictions-predictions-congress-and-the-courts/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Tuesday’s Results: Good News for Obama and Democrats?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/14/tuesdays-results-good-news-for-obama-and-democrats/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/14/tuesdays-results-good-news-for-obama-and-democrats/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 14 Aug 2010 17:41:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colorado Senate primary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Connecticut primary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generic ballot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=8292</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I’ve been on deadline with a conference paper, so am commenting somewhat belatedly on last Tuesday’s election results, focusing on the highly publicized Senate primary races in Colorado and Connecticut.  As you know, in Colorado, incumbent Democra... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/14/tuesdays-results-good-news-for-obama-and-democrats/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[I’ve been on deadline with a conference paper, so am commenting somewhat belatedly on last Tuesday’s election results, focusing on the highly publicized Senate primary races in Colorado and Connecticut.  As you know, in Colorado, incumbent Democrat Michael (“One T”) &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/08/14/tuesdays-results-good-news-for-obama-and-democrats/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>The Latest Gallup Poll: Are Democrats Gaining Momentum?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/07/24/the-latest-gallup-poll-are-democrats-gaining-momentum/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/07/24/the-latest-gallup-poll-are-democrats-gaining-momentum/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jul 2010 17:33:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2010 midterms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[generic ballot]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[probability sampling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=8235</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Another nice teaching moment, this one courtesy of Jay Cost at the Horserace blog and Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com. Gallup released their latest generic ballot results under the headlines “Democrats Jump Into Six Point Lead on the Generic Ballot <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2010/07/24/the-latest-gallup-poll-are-democrats-gaining-momentum/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Another nice teaching moment, this one courtesy of Jay Cost at the Horserace blog and Mark Blumenthal at Pollster.com. Gallup released their latest generic ballot results under the headlines “Democrats Jump Into Six Point Lead on the Generic Ballot”.   

As the following table shows, this jump comes after many months of polling data in which [...]]]></content:encoded>
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