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	<title>The Middlebury Blog Network &#187; 2012 presidential election</title>
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	<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/middblogs</link>
	<description>Selected Posts from the Midd Blogosphere</description>
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		<title>Midday Election Observations</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/midday-election-observations/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/midday-election-observations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2012 19:48:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election prediction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13784</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected.  As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral &#8230; Cont... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/midday-election-observations/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected.  As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/midday-election-observations/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/06/midday-election-observations/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Who Is Really Winning This Race?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/01/who-is-really-winning-this-race/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/01/who-is-really-winning-this-race/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 Nov 2012 04:09:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[forecast models]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13762</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like.  In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once &#8230; Continue reading &#8594; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/01/who-is-really-winning-this-race/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like.  In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/01/who-is-really-winning-this-race/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/11/01/who-is-really-winning-this-race/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Rumors of Mitt’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/09/21/rumors-of-mitts-death-are-greatly-exaggerated/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/09/21/rumors-of-mitts-death-are-greatly-exaggerated/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Sep 2012 20:01:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gaffes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Romney campaign]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13328</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I know. I know. “Where have you been?!”   I appreciate the email inquiries.  The short answer is I’ve been trapped in my office, fending off an onslaught of students.  Such is the life of a departmental chair at a nationally-ranked &#8230; Co... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/09/21/rumors-of-mitts-death-are-greatly-exaggerated/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[I know. I know. “Where have you been?!”   I appreciate the email inquiries.  The short answer is I’ve been trapped in my office, fending off an onslaught of students.  Such is the life of a departmental chair at a nationally-ranked &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/09/21/rumors-of-mitts-death-are-greatly-exaggerated/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/09/21/rumors-of-mitts-death-are-greatly-exaggerated/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Are Republicans Racially Biased Against Obama?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/27/are-republicans-racially-biased-against-obama/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/27/are-republicans-racially-biased-against-obama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Aug 2012 16:24:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[race]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13166</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For several reasons I haven’t said much about the role of race in the current presidential election.  The primary reason is that it is a difficult issue to address empirically, and in contrast to many blogs, my intent at this &#8230; Continue readin... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/27/are-republicans-racially-biased-against-obama/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[For several reasons I haven’t said much about the role of race in the current presidential election.  The primary reason is that it is a difficult issue to address empirically, and in contrast to many blogs, my intent at this &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/27/are-republicans-racially-biased-against-obama/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/27/are-republicans-racially-biased-against-obama/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Of Course The Electorate Is Highly Polarized! (Not)</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/10/of-course-the-electorate-is-highly-polarized-not/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/10/of-course-the-electorate-is-highly-polarized-not/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Aug 2012 21:27:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democracy in America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[partisan polarization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13097</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m posting at the Economist&#8217;s Democracy in America site today, with an article examining the evidence for whether the American electorate is, as Kevin Drum and other pundits would have us believe, extremely polarized along partisan lines. ... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/10/of-course-the-electorate-is-highly-polarized-not/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[I&#8217;m posting at the Economist&#8217;s Democracy in America site today, with an article examining the evidence for whether the American electorate is, as Kevin Drum and other pundits would have us believe, extremely polarized along partisan lines. The short answer, &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/10/of-course-the-electorate-is-highly-polarized-not/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/10/of-course-the-electorate-is-highly-polarized-not/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The State of The Race: It Was The Best Of Times. It Was The Worst Of Times.</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Aug 2012 01:12:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[James Campbell forecast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13084</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Today saw two separate and seemingly contrasting assessments of the state of the 2012 presidential election.  First, CNN released its latest presidential poll, and it showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney among a sample of registered voters by 52%-4... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Today saw two separate and seemingly contrasting assessments of the state of the 2012 presidential election.  First, CNN released its latest presidential poll, and it showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney among a sample of registered voters by 52%-47%.  Later, &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/09/the-state-of-the-race-it-was-the-best-of-times-it-was-the-worst-of-times/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>The 2012 Presidential Election Is Most Like This Previous Election</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/08/the-2012-presidential-election-is-most-like-this-previous-election/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/08/the-2012-presidential-election-is-most-like-this-previous-election/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Aug 2012 20:43:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[1980 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[candidate likability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jimmy Carter likeable]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13074</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the recurring exercises in any presidential election year is the effort by pundits to find the most appropriate historical analogue among previous presidential elections.  What is deemed “appropriate”, however, is usually determined by whet... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/08/the-2012-presidential-election-is-most-like-this-previous-election/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[One of the recurring exercises in any presidential election year is the effort by pundits to find the most appropriate historical analogue among previous presidential elections.  What is deemed “appropriate”, however, is usually determined by whether the historical antecedent favors &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/08/the-2012-presidential-election-is-most-like-this-previous-election/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>An Electoral Landslide For Obama?</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/05/an-electoral-landslide-for-obama/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/05/an-electoral-landslide-for-obama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 05 Aug 2012 23:45:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[battleground states]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[electoral college]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13069</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Michael Tomasky wrote a provocative online piece yesterday in the Daily Beast in which he speculated that Obama may, in fact, be on the verge of winning an electoral landslide.  Tomasky wrote, “The secret is the electoral college, and the &#8230; Co... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/05/an-electoral-landslide-for-obama/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Michael Tomasky wrote a provocative online piece yesterday in the Daily Beast in which he speculated that Obama may, in fact, be on the verge of winning an electoral landslide.  Tomasky wrote, “The secret is the electoral college, and the &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/08/05/an-electoral-landslide-for-obama/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Are Voters Rational? Bain, Three-Legged Jackasses,  and Viewer Mail</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/07/24/are-voters-rational-bain-three-legged-jackasses-and-viewer-mail/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/07/24/are-voters-rational-bain-three-legged-jackasses-and-viewer-mail/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Jul 2012 15:30:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[campaign effects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media coverage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=13008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Another day, another poll indicating that the devastating Bain attack ad and the “go for the jugular” targeting of Romney’s tax returns  are, as yet, still not resonating nationally with likely voters. According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in the... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/07/24/are-voters-rational-bain-three-legged-jackasses-and-viewer-mail/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[Another day, another poll indicating that the devastating Bain attack ad and the “go for the jugular” targeting of Romney’s tax returns  are, as yet, still not resonating nationally with likely voters. According to a USA Today/Gallup poll in the &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/07/24/are-voters-rational-bain-three-legged-jackasses-and-viewer-mail/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2012/07/24/are-voters-rational-bain-three-legged-jackasses-and-viewer-mail/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Misery Loves Company: Incumbents, Inflation and Unemployment</title>
		<link>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2011/07/14/misery-loves-company-incumbents-inflation-and-unemployment/</link>
		<comments>http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2011/07/14/misery-loves-company-incumbents-inflation-and-unemployment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jul 2011 15:13:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matthew Dickinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Midd Blogosphere]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012 presidential election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[misery index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reelection]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/?p=9209</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I want to follow my last post regarding unemployment and reelection by discussing a few other economic measures that are often referenced as useful indicators regarding a president’s reelection chances.  One of the most frequently cited is the “mi... <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2011/07/14/misery-loves-company-incumbents-inflation-and-unemployment/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[I want to follow my last post regarding unemployment and reelection by discussing a few other economic measures that are often referenced as useful indicators regarding a president’s reelection chances.  One of the most frequently cited is the “misery index”, &#8230; <a href="http://sites.middlebury.edu/presidentialpower/2011/07/14/misery-loves-company-incumbents-inflation-and-unemployment/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></content:encoded>
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