Tags » 2012 presidential election

 
 
 

Midday Election Observations

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected.  As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral … Continue reading

Who Is Really Winning This Race?

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like.  In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once … Continue reading

Rumors of Mitt’s Death Are Greatly Exaggerated

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
I know. I know. “Where have you been?!”   I appreciate the email inquiries.  The short answer is I’ve been trapped in my office, fending off an onslaught of students.  Such is the life of a departmental chair at a nationally-ranked … Continue reading

Are Republicans Racially Biased Against Obama?

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
For several reasons I haven’t said much about the role of race in the current presidential election.  The primary reason is that it is a difficult issue to address empirically, and in contrast to many blogs, my intent at this … Continue reading

Of Course The Electorate Is Highly Polarized! (Not)

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
I’m posting at the Economist’s Democracy in America site today, with an article examining the evidence for whether the American electorate is, as Kevin Drum and other pundits would have us believe, extremely polarized along partisan lines. The short answer, … Continue reading

The State of The Race: It Was The Best Of Times. It Was The Worst Of Times.

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Today saw two separate and seemingly contrasting assessments of the state of the 2012 presidential election.  First, CNN released its latest presidential poll, and it showed Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney among a sample of registered voters by 52%-47%.  Later, … Continue reading

The 2012 Presidential Election Is Most Like This Previous Election

Categories: Midd Blogosphere
One of the recurring exercises in any presidential election year is the effort by pundits to find the most appropriate historical analogue among previous presidential elections.  What is deemed “appropriate”, however, is usually determined by whether the historical antecedent favors … Continue reading