Posts by Matthew Dickinson

 
 
 

The Pundits vs. Political Science: Debating the Impact of the First Debate

November 4, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
As Election 2012 heads down to the wire, it is fascinating to see how the pundits view this race compared to where the political scientists do (at least as I interpret them).  They often seem to be looking at two … Continue reading →
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Who Is Really Winning This Race?

November 1, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Because I have been giving election talks with more frequency of late, I haven’t been able to post nearly as often as I would like.  In giving those talks, however, I am reminded (and I remind my audiences!) that, once … Continue reading →
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Different Forecast, Same Result: More Political Science Models

October 29, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Politico’s Dylan Byers created a minor dust-up in the twitterverse today when he posted an article that appeared to take a shot at the New York Times’  Nate Silver’s prognosticating skills. Byers writes, “Prediction is the name of Silver’s game, … Continue reading →
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How True Drew? Linzer Still Sees Obama As A Heavy Favorite

October 27, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Emory University political scientist Drew Linzer, who created and runs the Votamatic website, paid a visit to Middlebury College last Wednesday to discuss why, based on his forecast model, he believes President Obama is still the heavy favorite to win … Continue reading →
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Ten Days And Counting: Where The Race Stands

October 27, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
My post today examining the State of the Race is up at the Economist’s Democracy in America website, but I will try to amplify my remarks in a post at this site later today.  In particular, I’ll try to reconcile … Continue reading →
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Live Blogging The Third Presidential Debate

October 22, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
8:40 Welcome all to another installment of Live Blogging The Presidential Debate!   I hope you can join in- we set a record for participation and visits on this blog during the last debate, and I hope we can break … Continue reading →
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Yes, Jim Fallows, Debates Do Matter (But Not As Much As You May Think)

October 21, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
In the aftermath of the first presidential debate, as swing state polls began to converge with the national tracking polls, former Carter speechwriter and Atlantic magazine correspondent James Fallows tweeted, “Maybe acads will stop saying debates never matter MT @ppppolls … Continue reading →
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