Posts by Matthew Dickinson

 
 
 

Obama’s Victory And The Power of Incumbency In The Modern Era

November 17, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
A reporter recently emailed asking me to comment on the following observation: “This is the first time in American history since Thomas Jefferson, James Madison and James Monroe that the United States has elected three consecutive presidents to two terms … Continue reading →
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Why Joe and Jane Sixpack – and James Madison – Are Likely Pleased With Tuesday’s Results

November 11, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
Bob Johnson, as is his wont, chastises me once again for implicitly suggesting in my previous post that Americans last Tuesday again voted for divided government.  Bob writes, “In fact I suspect that we could and in fact may be … Continue reading →
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Once More, With Feeling! Divided We Stand

November 9, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
As we begin assessing the results of the 2012 elections, perhaps the most important takeaway is that, once again, the country has voted for divided government.  When this newly-elected Congress finishes its term in January, 2015, we will have had … Continue reading →
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The Big Winner Last Night? Political Science!

November 7, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
For a political scientist, last night’s outcomes were very, very satisfying.  To begin, viewed in the aggregate, the structural-based forecast models issued by last September hit the two-party popular vote share almost exactly on the head, as of this moment.  … Continue reading →
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Live Blogging The Presidential Election Returns

November 6, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
It’s 6:30, and I welcome everyone to the Presidential Power Election Night Live Blog.  As always, I invite everyone to join in via the comments section.   Now that the software glitch (that would be me), my comments should post on … Continue reading →
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Midday Election Observations

November 6, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
My teaching/advising duties are stretching me thin today, so I’m a bit slower with this post than I expected.  As I noted in last night’s post, however, the state-based forecast models are all showing an Obama victory in the Electoral … Continue reading →
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I Can Read Faces! My Wager On The Election Results

November 6, 2012 by
Categories: Midd Blogosphere
On the eve of Election Day, I am a happy man.  Why is this, you ask?  Because the fundamentals-based forecasts issued by almost a  dozen political scientists before Labor Day are – in the aggregate – looking remarkably prescient. The … Continue reading →
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