Trends

What does the data tell us about trends in population and socio-economic development?

 

General Assignment for the entire class

Required Viewing:

NOVA, World in Balance: The Population Paradox, (DVD), 2004.

 

Required Readings:

Joseph A. Mc Falls, Population a Lively Introduction, Population Reference Bureau, Population Bulletin, Vol. 62, No. 1, March, 2007.

Carl Haub and James Gribble, The World at 7 Billion, Population Reference Bureau, Population Bulletin, Vol. 66, No. 2, July 2011


Topics to be Discussed


I. Population Growth Trends

  • Past
  • Present
  • Future

II. Components of Population Growth

  • Fertility
  • Mortality
  • Migration


III. Composition of the Population

  • Population Aging
  • Urbanization
  • International Migration

 Individual Assignments: (For discussion- no paper is required.)

Each group has its own reading assignment, to find yours, click on your group. (To find out what group you are in, go to “Supplements”.)

 Group A Group B Group C Group D Group E

Group A

De La Croix, David and Axel Gosseries (2009), “Population Policy Through Tradable Procreation Entitlements”, International Economic Review, pp. 507-542. (Read only pp 507-512.) (Electronic Reserve)

 

Group B

United Nations, (2013), “United Nations 2012 Population Projections”, in Population and Development Review v29, n1 (Sept. 2013): 551-555. (PUT ON RESERVE)

 

Group C

Feng, Wang; Yong Cai and B. Gu, (2012), “Population Policy and Politics: How Will History Judge China’s One-Child Policy?”, Population and Development Review (Supplement) pp 115-129. (PUT ON RESERVE)

 

Group D

United Nations (2004), “The United Nations on World Population in 2300”, Population and Development Review v30, n1 (March 2004): pp. 181-187. (Electronic Reserve)

Demeny, Paul, (2004), “Population Futures for the Next Three Hundred Years: Soft Landing or Surprises to Come?”, Population and Development Review v30, n3 (September 2004): pp. 507-517. (Electronic Reserve)

 

Group E.

Feng, Wang (2011), “The Future of a Demographic Overachiever: Long Term Implications of Demographic Transition in China”, Population and Development Review, Vol. 37 (Supplement) pp 173-190. (Consider only pp 173-183 and page 187. (Electronic Reserve)

Back to Contents


Links

Population Data, Trends and Projections


Supplements

Contents:


PowerPoint Graphics

Size Powerpoint Presentation

Population Size

Population Growth Rates

Population Growth Increments

World Fertility

World Mortality

Population Momentum

Age Structure

Population Pyramids